John Smith, owner of Smith Riverside Diner, is trying to decide whether to purchase an insurance pol


Question: John Smith, owner of Smith Riverside Diner, is trying to decide whether to purchase an insurance policy to cover flood damage on his diner that is located on the bank of Mohawk river. Rainstorms occur frequently and then Mohawk river may flood the restaurant. John estimates the potential damage from flood in the coming year as:

Flood Damage No Damage Mild Damage Severe Damage Complete Damage
Damage Amount in dollars $0 $15,000 $35,000 $50,000
Probability 0.62 0.22 0.11 0.05


John is considering three alternatives for dealing with this flood risk:
· John can buy an insurance policy for $16,000 that would cover 100% of any damage losses that occur.
· John can buy an insurance policy for $8,000 that would cover all damage losses in excess of $28,000.
· John can choose to self-insure, in which case he will not have to pay any insurance premium but will pay for any losses that occur.

Part a): Construct a payoff table for this problem
Part b): What decision should be made according to the Conservative Approach?
Part c): What decision should be made according to the Minimax Regret Approach? Show the Regret table to support your answer.
Part d): What decision should be made according to the Expected Value Approach?
Part e): What is the highest amount of money that John should be willing to pay for perfect information/forecast for his flood damage?

Price: $2.99
Solution: The solution file consists of 3 pages
Type of Deliverable: Word Document

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