The file GRP.TXT contains the data on the following variables for a particular region in
Question: Question 1
The file GRP.TXT contains the data on the following variables for a particular region in New Zealand:
Name | Description |
NoCons | Number of building consents issued for new dwellings |
ValCons | Value of building consents issued for new dwellings (million $) |
Unemp | Number of registered unemployed |
House | Number of dwellings sold |
Car | Number of New Car Registrations (contains missing data) |
Exp | Value of exports (million $) |
Imp | Value of imports (million $) |
GRP | National Bank Index of Gross Regional Product (GRP) |
(a) Obtain the correlation matrix for the variables and the matrix plot of the variables. Discuss
the uses of these two outputs in the context. [4 marks]
(b) Regress GRP on all the explanatory variables and obtain the full regression output. Discuss the statistical significance of the regression coefficients considering the P values. What conclusion would you draw from the Analysis of Variance part of the regression output? Explain your answers in the context. Perform suitable residual diagnostics and discuss the implications. [6 marks]
(c) Carry out a complete forward stepwise regression of GRP on the explanatory variables. Also
perform a complete backward predictor elimination procedure. Compare the outputs.
Which step (model) you will recommend for predicting the GRP? Explain your answer.
[5 marks]
(d) Explore the appropriateness of polynomial regression in the context. [5 marks]
Deliverables: Word Document