You are the production manager for ING Oil and Gas Exploration examining a candidate site. Assume th
Question: You are the production manager for ING Oil and Gas Exploration examining a candidate site. Assume that oil either exists in producible quantities or does not exist at all. Similar site have yielded oil about 20% of the time.
A test is performed on the soil at the site. In the past, oil was present 90% of the times that the test indicated "oil." Conversely, oil was actually present 15% when the test results indicated "no oil."
If a single test is run and indicates that oil is present, what is the revised probability that oil is actually present?
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Solution: The solution file consists of 1 page
Solution Format: Word Document![](/images/msword.png)
Solution Format: Word Document
![](/images/msword.png)