(See Solution) Suppose you are considering changing jobs and there are 3 potential employers, each of whom wants to interview you at 1 PM tomorrow (you
Question:
Suppose you are considering changing jobs and there are 3 potential employers, each of whom wants to interview you at 1 PM tomorrow (you cannot interview with more than one potential employer).
Chase Bank has a 50% chance of making you an offer
If they make you an offer, the offer will be $130 thousand with likelihood = 40%
If they make you an offer, the offer will be $100 thousand with likelihood = 45%
If they make you an offer, the offer will be $70 thousand with likelihood = 15%
Merrill Lynch has a 60% chance of making you an offer
If they make you an offer, the offer will be $115 thousand with likelihood = 50%
If they make you an offer, the offer will be $105 thousand with likelihood = 10%
If they make you an offer, the offer will be $95 thousand with likelihood = 20%
If they make you an offer, the offer will be $85 thousand with likelihood = 20%
Goldman Sachs has a 70% chance of making you an offer
If they make you an offer, the offer will be $120 thousand with likelihood = 20%
If they make you an offer, the offer will be $100 thousand with likelihood = 30%
If they make you an offer, the offer will be $80 thousand with likelihood = 50%
- Which alternative is the maximax decision? (Justify your response).
- Assuming an offer, which alternative is the maximin decision? (Justify your response).
- What is the EMV for each of the three options?
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