[All Steps] A local moving company has collected data on the number of moves they have been asked to perform over the past three years. Moving is highly seasonal,
Question:
A local moving company has collected data on the number of moves they have been asked to perform over the past three years. Moving is highly seasonal, so the owner/operator who is both burly and highly educated, decides to apply the multiplicative seasonal method, (based on a linear regression for total demand) to forecast the number of customers for coming year.
- What is his forecast for each quarter?
- Is this the best method of forecasting for this data? Why or why not?
| 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | |||
| Quarter | Demand | Quarter | Demand | Quarter | Demand |
| 1 | 20 | 1 | 27 | 1 | 33 |
| 2 | 40 | 2 | 45 | 2 | 45 |
| 3 | 45 | 3 | 55 | 3 | 55 |
| 4 | 30 | 4 | 40 | 4 | 40 |
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