[Solution Library] A data science company is bidding on a predictive modeling project that, of course, involves uncertainty. Based on past experience, the company
Question: A data science company is bidding on a predictive modeling project that, of course, involves uncertainty. Based on past experience, the company developed the following table:
| Problems experienced | Minimum | Typical | Worse Case |
| Project Cost | $1,250,000 | $1,450,000 | $1,790,000 |
| Associated Probability | 0.12 | 0.69 | 0.19 |
Assume that the firm is bidding competitively, and the expectation of successfully gaining the job at a bid of $2.25 million is 0%, at $2.15 million is 10%, at $2.05 million is 20%, at $1.95 million is 30%, at $1.85 million is 50% at $1.75 million is 80%, and at $1.65 million is practically certain.
- Calculate the expected monetary value for the given bids.
- What is the best bidding decision?
- What is the expected value of perfect information?
Deliverable: Word Document 