[See Steps] Consider the applications for home mortgages data in the file P13_04.xlsx Create a time series chart of the data. Based on what you see, which
Question: Consider the applications for home mortgages data in the file P13_04.xlsx
- Create a time series chart of the data. Based on what you see, which of the exponential smoothing models do you think should be used for forecasting? Why?
- Use simple exponential smoothing to forecast these data, using no holdout period and requesting 4 quarters of future forecasts. Use the default smoothing constant of 0.1
- Repeat part b, optimizing the smoothing constant. Does it make much of an improvement?
- Write a short report to summarize your results.
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