You are given a set of 200 baseball cards and have reason to believe that more than half of them are of
Problem: You are given a set of 200 baseball cards and have reason to believe that more than half of them are of Brewers players \((p>.5)\). You design an experiment to test whether this hypothesis is correct. Each trial is to draw a card and record a+ if it is a Brewer and a if it is not. You replace the card and repeat the trials 10 times. You then count the number of times you drew a Brewer. You want to test whether the true proportion of Brewers cards is greater than .5.
x | \[\Pr \left( X=x|p=0.5 \right)\] | \[\Pr \left( X=x|p=0.75 \right)\] |
0 | 0.000977 | 0.000001 |
1 | 0.009766 | 0.000029 |
2 | 0.043945 | 0.000386 |
3 | 0.117188 | 0.00309 |
4 | 0.205078 | 0.016222 |
5 | 0.058399 | |
6 | 0.205078 | 0.145998 |
7 | 0.117188 | 0.250282 |
8 | 0.043945 | 0.281568 |
9 | 0.009766 | 0.187712 |
10 | 0.000977 | 0.056314 |
b1) Write the null and alternative hypotheses. (4 Points)
b2) What is the rejection region for \(\alpha=.15\) ? (4 Points)
c) Based on your answer for Part B, what is the true value for \(\alpha\) ? (4 Points)
d) What is the Type II error rate \((\beta)\) given that the true proportion of Brewers cards is \(.75(\mathrm{p}=.75)\) ? (4 Points)
e) Based on your answer for Part \(\mathrm{D}\), what is the power? (4 Points)
Deliverable: Word Document
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