Solution) Consider the following question posed to Marilyn von Savant in her weekly newspaper column "Ask Mari


Question: Consider the following question posed to Marilyn von Savant in her weekly newspaper column "Ask Marilyn": I have two pairs of socks, and they look nearly identical - one navy blue and the other black. [When doing the laundry] my wife matches the socks incorrectly much more often than she does correctly...If all four socks are in front of her, it seems to me that her chances are 50% for a wrong match and 50% for a right match. What do you think?

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