Recall our analysis of the data on Condo sales, with an asking price of $169,000, interior space of
Question: Recall our analysis of the data on Condo sales, with an asking price of $169,000, interior space of 1040 square feet, five rooms, two bedrooms and one bath.
I used the MS Excel ‘Data/Filter’ to select a subset of the 456 records to include only those located in Mid-Cambridge and with interior space of between 800 and 2000 Ft2, selling price between $100,000 and $200,000, and date of closing since July 15, 1992. This ‘Filter’ data set yielded only 32 observations for a preliminary plot. I then noticed 3 of the sales were extreme ‘outliers’ and removed them, leaving 29 useful observations. I then ran a simple linear regression of selling price predicted by interior space in Ft2 to see whether this might be useful in determining if this asking price of $169,000 is “fair”. The “X-Y Plot” and Regression Statistics for these 29 observations are shown below.
Case data with Filters
Filtered data: Area= MidCamb; CloseDate >7/15/92;
Sale Price = $100K to $200K; SqFt= 800 to 2000
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Regression Statistics | |||||||
R Square | 0.58 | ||||||
Observations | 29 | ||||||
Coefficients | Std Error | t Stat | P-value | Lower 95% | Upper 95% | ||
Intercept | -20863 | 29289 | -0.71 | 0.4824 | -80958 | 39232 | |
SqrFt | 177 | 29.1 | 6.08 | 0.000002 | 117 | 237 |
(a) How useful is this overall relationship, in terms of explaining the variability in Sale Price for these 29 condo’s in the filtered data set?
(b) What is its 90% confidence range for this estimate of the coefficient of $177 per square foot to help estimate the Sale Price? What is the probability it might even be less than zero, and therefore meaningless? [no calculations, all these have been done by Excel in the above display]
(c) Calculate the estimated ‘fair selling price’ for the condo Reyem Affiar is considering with 1040 square feet of space in this Mid-Cambridge area?
Deliverables: Word Document
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