(All Steps) With the gasoline time series from Table 15.1, show the exponential smoothing forecasts using alpha = 0.1. Applying the MSE measure of forecast accuracy,


Question: With the gasoline time series from Table 15.1, show the exponential smoothing forecasts using alpha = 0.1.

  1. Applying the MSE measure of forecast accuracy, would you prefer a smoothing constant of alpha = 0.1 or alpha = 0.2 for the gasoline time series?
  2. Are the results the same if you apply the MAE as the measure of accuracy?
  3. What are the results if MAPE is used?

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