Statistics Solutions

(All Steps) Was the draft lottery random? In 1970, a lottery was used to determine who would be drafted into the U.S. Army. The 366 dates in the year were placed

Question: Was the draft lottery random?

In 1970, a lottery was used to determine who would be drafted into the U.S. Army. The 366 dates in the year were placed in individual capsules. First, the 31 January capsules were placed in a box: then the 29 February capsules were added and the two months were mixed. Then the 31 March capsules were added and the three months were mixed. This process continued until all months were included. The first capsule selected was September 14, so men born on that date were drafted first. The accompanying list shows the 366 dates in the order of selection.

  1. Use the runs test to test the sequence for randomness above and below the median of 183.5
  2. Use the Kruskal-Wallis test to test the claim that the 12 months had priority numbers drawn from the same population.
  3. Calculate the 12 monthly means. Then plot those 12 means on a graph (The horizontal scale lists the 12 months, and the vertical scale ranges from 100 to 260.) Note any pattern suggesting that the original priority numbers were not randomly selected.
  4. Based on the results from parts (a), (b), and (c), decide whether this particular draft lottery was fair. Write a statement supporting your position that it was fair or explaining why you believe that it was not fair. If you decided that this lottery was unfair, describe a process for selecting lottery numbers that would have been fair.
Jan 305 159 251 215 101 224 306 199 194 325 329 221 318 238 017 121
235 140 058 280 186 337 118 059 052 092 355 077 349 164 211
Feb 086 144 297 210 214 347 091 181 338 216 150 068 152 004 089 212
189 292 025 302 363 290 057 236 179 365 205 299 285
Mar 108 029 267 275 293 139 122 213 317 323 136 300 259 354 169 166
033 332 200 239 334 265 256 258 343 170 268 223 362 217 030
Apr 032 271 083 081 269 253 147 312 219 218 014 346 124 231 273 148
260 090 336 345 062 316 252 002 351 340 074 262 191 208
May 330 298 040 276 364 155 035 321 197 065 037 133 295 178 130 055
112 278 075 183 250 326 319 031 361 357 296 308 226 103 313
Jun 249 228 301 020 028 110 085 366 335 206 134 272 069 356 180 274
073 341 104 360 060 247 109 358 137 022 064 222 353 209
Jul 093 350 115 279 188 327 050 013 277 284 248 015 042 331 322 120
098 190 227 187 027 153 172 023 067 303 289 088 270 287 193
Aug 11 045 261 145 054 114 168 048 106 021 324 142 307 198 102 044
154 141 311 344 291 339 116 036 286 245 352 167 061 333 011
Sep 225 161 049 232 082 006 008 184 263 071 158 242 175 001 113 207
255 246 177 063 204 160 119 195 149 018 233 257 151 315
Oct 359 125 244 202 024 087 2134 283 342 220 237 072 138 294 171 254
288 005 241 192 243 117 201 196 176 007 264 094 229 038 079
Nov 019 034 348 266 310 076 051 097 080 282 046 066 126 127 131 107
143 146 203 185 156 009 182 230 132 309 047 281 099 174
Dec 129 328 157 165 056 010 012 105 043 041 039 314 163 026 320 096
304 128 240 135 070 053 162 095 084 173 078 123 016 003 100

Price: $2.99
Solution: The downloadable solution consists of 4 pages
Deliverable: Word Document


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