[Solution Library] Data collected on the yearly demand for 50-pound bags of fertilizer at Wallace Garden Supply are shown in the following table. Year Demand (1000's
Question: Data collected on the yearly demand for 50-pound bags of fertilizer at Wallace Garden Supply are shown in the following table.
| Year | Demand (1000's bags) |
| 1 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 |
| 3 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 |
| 5 | 10 |
| 6 | 9 |
| 7 | 10 |
| 8 | 11 |
| 9 | 15 |
| 10 | 16 |
| 11 | 18 |
- Develop a 3-year moving average to forecast sales.
- Then estimate demand again with a weighted moving average in which sales in the most recent year are given a weight of 3 and a weight of 2 for the second past year and sales in the other 2 years are each given a weight of 1.
- Which method do you think is best?
- Develop a trend line for the demand for fertilizer using any computer software.
- You have now developed three different forecasts. These are a 3-year moving average, a weighted moving average, and a trend line. Which one would you use? Explain your answer.
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