[Solution Library] A consulting firm estimates the following quarterly sales forecasting model: Q_t=a+bt+cD The consulting firm estimates the equation using
Question: A consulting firm estimates the following quarterly sales forecasting model:
\[{{Q}_{t}}=a+bt+cD\]The consulting firm estimates the equation using quarterly data from 2000, quarter 1, to 2010, quarter 3, for a total of 43 observations (t=1 ... 43). The variable D is a dummy variable for the second quarter, where D=1 for the second quarter and D=0 otherwise. The results of the estimation are as follows.
- At the 5 percent level of significance, is there a statistically significant trend in sales? Why?
- Given the results in the table, is the trend in sales increasing or decreasing? Why?
- At the 5 percent level of significance, are sales in the second quarter statistically different than sales in the other quarters? If yes, are sales higher or lower than other quarters?
- What is the predicted level of sales in 2011, quarter 1?
- What is the predicted level of sales in 2011, quarter 2?
- What is the predicted level of sales in 2011, quarter 3?
- What is the predicted level of sales in 2011, quarter 4?
Deliverable: Word Document 