(See Solution) Consider the results of a small opinion poll concerning the chances of another stock market crash in the next 12 months comparable to the
Question: Consider the results of a small opinion poll concerning the chances of another stock market crash in the next 12 months comparable to the crash of 1987.
| Responses to the opinion poll on the chances of a stock marker crash | |||
| Stockholders | Non-stockholders | Total | |
| Very likely | 18 | 26 | 44 |
| Somewhat likely | 41 | 65 | 106 |
| Not very likely | 52 | 68 | 120 |
| Not likely at all | 19 | 31 | 50 |
| Not sure | 8 | 13 | 21 |
| Total | 138 | 203 | 341 |
- Fill in the "Total" row and column.
- Find the table of overall percentages. Interpret these as estimates of probabilities in the population. In particular, what probabilities do they represent?
- Find the table of percentages by type of person (stockholder/non-stockholder). Interpret these as estimates of probabilities in the population. In particular, what probabilities do they represent?
- Find the table of percentages by response. Interpret these as estimates of probabilities in the population. In particular, what probabilities do they represent?
- Does the response appear to be independent of the stockholder/non-stockholder classification?
- Find the critical value from the chi-squared table for the 5% level and report the result of the chi-squared test.
- Find the critical value from the chi-squared table for the 1% level and report the result of the chi-squared test.
- Find the critical value from the chi-squared table for the 0.1% level and report the result of the chi-squared test.
- State you conclusions and discuss the results in practical terms.
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