Solution: Alexander Industries is considering purchasing an insurance policy for its new office building in St. Louis, Missouri. The policy has an annual
Question: Alexander Industries is considering purchasing an insurance policy for its new office building in St. Louis, Missouri. The policy has an annual cost of $\$ 10,000$. If Alexander Industries doesn't purchase the insurance and minor fire damage occurs, a cost of $100,000 is anticipated; the cost if major or total destruction occurs is $200,000. The costs, including the state-of-nature probabilities, are as follows:
- Using the expected value approach, what decision do you recommend?
- What lottery would you use to assess utilities? (Note: Because the data are costs, the best payoff is $0.)
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Assume that you found the following indifference probabilities for the lottery defined in part (b). What decision would you recommend?
- Do you favor using expected value or expected utility for this decision problem? Why?
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