The data below is from a survey of hotels which shows that room occupancy during the off-season is related
The data below is from a survey of hotels which shows that room occupancy during the off-season is related to the price charged for a basic room.
| Price per Day | Occupancy Rate, % |
| $74 | 53% |
| $94 | 47% |
| $100 | 46% |
| $104 | 45% |
| $114 | 40% |
| $134 | 32% |
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What price per day will maximize the daily off-season revenue for a typical hotel in this group if it has 200 rooms available?
Solution: The price per day that will maximize the daily off-season revenue for a typical hotel in this group is $104.Price per Day Occupancy Rate, % Total Rooms Available Room Occupancy (Total Avail Rooms\% Occupancy) Revenue (Price*Room Occupancy) $74 53% 200 106 $7,844 $94 47% 200 94 $8,836 $100 46% 200 92 $9,200 $104 45% 200 90 $9,360 $114 40% 200 80 $9,120 $134 32% 200 64 $8,576 - Suppose that for this typical hotel the daily cost is $4,592 plus $30 per occupied room. What price will maximize the profit for this hotel in the off-season?
Solution: In order to maximize the profit, we get the following table:
| Price per Day | Occupancy Rate, % | Total Rooms Available | Room Occupancy (Total Avail Rooms\% Occupancy) | Revenue (Price*Room Occupancy) | Fixed Cost | Variable Cost | Profit |
| $74 | 53% | 200 | 106 | $7,844 | $4,592 | $3,180 | $72 |
| $94 | 47% | 200 | 94 | $8,836 | $4,592 | $2,820 | $1,424 |
| $100 | 46% | 200 | 92 | $9,200 | $4,592 | $2,760 | $1,848 |
| $104 | 45% | 200 | 90 | $9,360 | $4,592 | $2,700 | $2,068 |
| $114 | 40% | 200 | 80 | $9,120 | $4,592 | $2,400 | $2,128 |
| $134 | 32% | 200 | 64 | $8,576 | $4,592 | $1,920 | $2,064 |
As it can be observed, the profit is maximized when the price is $114.
What price per day will maximize the off-season profit for this typical hotel applies to this group of hotels. To find the room price per day that will maximize the daily revenue and the room price per day that will maximize profit for this hotel (and thus the group of hotels) in the off-season, complete the following.
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Multiply each occupancy rate by 200 to get the hypothetical room Occupancy. Create the revenue data points that compare the price with the revenue, R, which is equal to price times
Price per Day Occupancy Rate, % Total Rooms Available Room Occupancy (Total Avail Rooms % Occupancy) Revenue (Price*Room Occupancy) $74 53% 200 106 $7,844 $94 47% 200 94 $8,836 $100 46% 200 92 $9,200 $104 45% 200 90 $9,360 $114 40% 200 80 $9,120 $134 32% 200 64 $8,576 -
Use technology to create an equation that models the revenue, R, as a function of the price per day, x.
Solution: The type of model to be used depends on the visual trend exhibited by the data. Based on the quality of fit, we’ll use a cubic model.
Using Excel we get the following results:SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.981863451 R Square 0.964055837 Adjusted R Square 0.910139592 Standard Error 166.2735947 Observations 6 ANOVA df SS MS F Significance F Regression 3 1483031.517 494343.8389 17.88061919 0.053428809 Residual 2 55293.81658 27646.90829 Total 5 1538325.333 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Intercept -3388.876564 15562.43698 -0.217760018 0.847813989 -70348.68514 63570.93 Price 220.6306895 472.8966529 0.466551599 0.686706646 -1814.080801 2255.342 Price^2 -0.873085032 4.670931935 -0.186918808 0.868968008 -20.97049706 19.22433 Price^3 -0.000804091 0.015012202 -0.053562499 0.962152729 -0.065396427 0.063788
The model is
Revenue = -3,388.877 + 220.6307*Price – 0.8731*Price 2 – 0.000804*Price 3 -
Use maximization techniques to find the price that these hotels should charge to maximize the daily revenue.
Solution: We have the function
\[R\left( x \right)\text{ }=-\text{3},\text{388}.\text{877}+\text{22}0.\text{63}0\text{7}x-0.\text{8731}{{x}^{\text{2}}}-0.000\text{8}0\text{4}{{x}^{\text{3}}}\]
where x represents price. Differentiating, we get
\[R'\left( x \right)=220.6037-1.7462x-0.00241{{x}^{2}}\]
Setting the derivative equal to zero, we get the following results:
\[220.6037-1.7462x-0.00241{{x}^{2}}=0\]
\[\Rightarrow \,\,\,\,x=-833.59\text{ or }x=109.72\]
The only point that makes sense in this context is x* = $109.72. In fact this point is a maximum, because \(R''\left( 109.72 \right)=-2.27552<0\).
The maximum profit is R* = $9,246.01.
Graphically: -
Use technology to get the occupancy as a function of the price, and use the occupancy function to create a daily cost function.
Solution: Using a quadratic model, we get:SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.997424 R Square 0.994855 Adjusted R Square 0.991425 Standard Error 0.006611 Observations 6 ANOVA df SS MS F Significance F Regression 2 0.02535223 0.012676113 290.0547741 0.000369026 Residual 3 0.00013111 4.37025E-05 Total 5 0.02548333 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Intercept 0.584855 0.07273874 8.040494667 0.004017469 0.353368095 0.816342792 Price 0.000777 0.00141387 0.549669864 0.620820182 -0.003722413 0.005276739 Price^2 -2.1E-05 6.7399E-06 -3.055829483 0.055173927 -4.20451E-05 8.53399E-07
The model is
Occupancy Rate = 0.584855 + 0.000777*Price – 0.000021*Price 2
Graphically,
The cost function is therefore:
\[C\left( x \right)=8101.13266+4.662977x-0.12358{{x}^{2}}\]
This is obtained multiplying by 200 to obtain the number of rooms that are occupied, then multiplying by the variable cost (which is $30) and then adding the fixed cost. -
Form the profit function.
Solution: The profit function is
\[P\left( x \right)=R\left( x \right)-\text{C}\left( x \right)\text{ }=-\text{3},\text{388}.\text{877}+\text{22}0.\text{63}0\text{7}x-0.\text{8731}{{x}^{\text{2}}}-0.000\text{8}0\text{4}{{x}^{\text{3}}}-\left( 8101.13266+4.662977x-0.12358{{x}^{2}} \right)\]
which means that
\[P\left( x \right)=-11,490+215.968x-0.749505{{x}^{2}}-0.000804091{{x}^{3}}\] - Use maximization techniques to find the price that will maximize the profit .
Solution: Differentiating the profit function and setting the derivative equal to zero:
\[P'\left( x \right)=215.968-1.49901x-0.00241227{{x}^{2}}=0\]which means that the price that maximizes the profit is P* = $120.649. The optimal daily profit is $2,244.21.
Graphically, we have:
Deliverable: Word Document
